Real Estate in Guelph -It's the same place we came from

Despite market uncertainties, real estate remains a resilient investment due to the ever-present demand for housing. Rising interest rates and shifting prices may dominate headlines, but the fundamentals of supply and demand continue to drive opportunities. This blog explores why the current market still holds promise for buyers and sellers alike.



Real Estate in Guelph

I am not going to pretend I know what is going to happen, but with so many people asking me, it’s only fair I try. I mean, I have my opinions, and I will continue to make my personal decisions when it comes to real estate and investing based on them – and when my clients ask, I will share how I feel.

So, how do I feel about the real estate market? 

Well, actually pretty good.

And how did I feel last month? 

Well, pretty good.

What about a month from now? 

Yes, pretty darn good.

How can you feel good about something that so many are feeling bad about?

Well, I am not quite sure that the owning of real estate, or the homes people want, or the investments they hope to make have people feeling bad; I imagine it is more about the new interest rates.

Let’s look at the investment of real estate first. Whether you are renting it out or living in it, it is a choice of what to do with your money. For the people that are living in it, it’s great to know that it is an investment, because you have to spend money on housing regardless.

When we look at any investment we always ask ourselves, “Does this make sense?” The simplest way I can look at real estate and answer that question is to say, I have a product and the people that want and need this product are growing, and the availability of this product does not seem to be doing the same.

Describing it this way helps make the most sense to me. I guess I could say the same thing about Coca Cola, but there is Pepsi, Sprite, water, beer, and this Prime drink that my kids won’t stop talking about (don’t get me started). So real estate as an investment makes sense, as there is no alternative to housing.

What about everything I am reading about prices going down?


Well, real estate prices are going down now, since the rates people use to afford them have gone up. When the rates go down, you know the prices will start to climb again.


The market is very healthy – I have been saying this for months.


The reason we’ve noticed some homes not selling is due to the sellers adjusting their price expectations downwards slower than the buyers are. The sellers are still willing to accept the price of a spring ago, but the buyers are the ones calculating the interest rate. When rates go up that quickly, it’s hard for sellers to accept things fast enough, so buyers wait, and one by one new sales prices give data to sellers that say “You see, these are the new prices,” and a reluctant decision takes place by way of a price adjustment and then another sale happens.


In the spring market of 2022 prices rose but when interest rates started to climb prices fell. Although real estate goals still existed, and people still wanted to invest, the falling prices is what grabbed the headlines, so that healthy underbelly lies just below the surface.


Now here we are, in the early part of the year and what can sometimes be the barometer of how our real estate market will perform.


How is it going?


Well, the supply and demand levels have once again tipped in a slight favour of the seller, but buyers armed with a different interest rate are taking a more calculated approach instead of having a fear of missing out.


To conclude, a properly priced home will sell, an underpriced one will sell for over asking, and an overpriced home won’t sell at all. You see, nothing to see here, just a regular old spring market in Guelph.


Thanks for reading, and I thought this quote would be fitting.


“When the market is greedy, I get scared. When the market is scared, I get greedy.” 


-Warren Buffet


February 19, 2025
Guelph is a fantastic place to enjoy outdoor winter activities, and tobogganing is one of the best ways to embrace the snowy season. Whether you’re looking for a gentle slope for the kids or a thrilling ride down a steep hill, Guelph has plenty of great options. Here are some of the top spots for tobogganing in the area:  1. Exhibition Park One of the most popular tobogganing spots in Guelph, Exhibition Park offers a great hill with a moderate incline, making it ideal for families and younger children. The park is centrally located and has plenty of space for winter fun. 2. Mollison Park Located in the city’s west end, Mollison Park features a well-known sledding hill that offers a good mix of fun and safety. The hill isn’t too steep, making it a great choice for all ages. 3. Kortright Hills Park For those looking for a longer ride, Kortright Hills Park has a fantastic slope that provides a smooth and enjoyable run. The park’s natural setting makes it a beautiful spot for winter recreation. 4. MacAlister Park Another family-friendly location, MacAlister Park has a gentle slope perfect for younger children who are just learning to enjoy the thrill of tobogganing. It’s a quieter location, making it a great place for a relaxed outing. 5. Riverside Park This popular Guelph park has a designated tobogganing area that attracts sledders from all over the city. The varied terrain provides options for both beginner and more experienced riders, making it a great all-around choice. Safety Tips for Tobogganing Always wear a helmet, especially for young children. Ensure the hill is free of obstacles, such as trees and rocks. Sled during daylight hours or in well-lit areas. Dress warmly and wear appropriate winter gear. Supervise children at all times for a safe and fun experience. These top tobogganing spots in Guelph offer a range of experiences for sledders of all ages. So grab your sled, bundle up, and enjoy the winter season in one of Guelph’s best tobogganing locations!
February 19, 2025
With discussions surrounding potential tariffs on Canadian imports, stakeholders in Guelph’s real estate market are evaluating the possible consequences. If implemented, these tariffs could significantly affect housing costs, development projects, and market dynamics in Guelph and the surrounding areas. Possible Increase in Construction Costs One of the most immediate impacts of tariffs would be rising costs for construction materials such as lumber, steel, and aluminum. Since a large portion of these materials is imported from the U.S., tariffs could lead to price hikes, ultimately increasing the cost of building new homes. If material prices rise, builders may pass those costs onto buyers, potentially adding thousands of dollars to home prices. Industry experts predict that if tariffs are introduced, the additional cost per single-family home could range from $10,000 to $25,000. Potential for Higher Mortgage Rates Economic uncertainty caused by tariffs could influence the Bank of Canada’s interest rate policies. If inflation rises due to increased costs on imported goods, the central bank may opt to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Higher interest rates would directly affect mortgage rates, making borrowing more expensive for homebuyers in Guelph. With rising mortgage costs, buyer affordability could take a hit, leading to reduced demand and a slower real estate market. Those looking to purchase a home may need to reconsider their budgets or lock in rates before any potential hikes occur. Possible Slowdown in New Developments Developers in Guelph may hesitate to launch new housing projects if tariffs increase construction costs. A more expensive development process could lead to project delays or cancellations, tightening housing supply in an already competitive market. If fewer homes are built, demand for existing properties could rise, potentially driving up home prices. This would further strain affordability for first-time homebuyers and those looking to enter the market. Housing Market Uncertainty Even before any tariffs are imposed, the uncertainty surrounding trade policies can impact market confidence. Buyers and investors may adopt a wait-and-see approach, slowing down transactions and cooling off market activity. Conversely, if there is speculation that tariffs will push prices higher in the future, some buyers may rush to secure homes before the impact takes effect. This could create short-term market volatility, with a potential surge in demand followed by a slowdown. How Buyers, Sellers, and Developers Can Prepare Homebuyers : Consider securing mortgage pre-approvals early to lock in favorable interest rates before any potential hikes. If tariffs are implemented, it could make homeownership more expensive in the long run. Sellers : Monitor market trends closely. If tariffs lead to increased costs and reduced affordability, selling sooner rather than later might be advantageous. Developers : Explore cost-efficient alternatives for sourcing materials and streamline construction processes to mitigate potential price increases.  Conclusion While tariffs have not yet been imposed, their potential implementation could bring significant changes to Guelph’s real estate landscape. Rising construction costs, potential mortgage rate hikes, and a slowdown in new developments could all impact affordability and market stability. Buyers, sellers, and industry professionals should stay informed and prepared to adapt to possible changes in the housing market.
By Hudson Smith December 18, 2024
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